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18 May 2006

Iran's Nuke Progress May Be Literal Vaporware

According to the BBC
Iran may have used stocks of high-quality uranium gas - or uranium hexafluoride gas - [procured from China in 1991] to speed up a breakthrough in enrichment, diplomats say.
This would explain how Iran suddenly was able to accomplish the enrichment phase despite a number of technological problems believed to beset the program. It also demonstrates (assuming these sources are right) that countries are indeed willing to exaggerate the danger they pose to the West even in the face of an American military attack.

Why they do this probably has a number of explanations - regional prestige probably the most compelling. Iran's direct defiance of the U.S. only adds to this prestige, even as it further erodes America's prestige, particularly in the wake of our Iraq debacle. But this is hardly sufficient reason for us to use military force.

Still, Iran's continued baiting of the U.S. seems rather reckless given what we've done next door. However poorly executed the Iraq Attaq might have been, we proved one thing for sure: we can destroy a country but good. And that's while trying to not to destroy it - to save it in fact, spending hundreds of billions trying to rebuild it. Imagine if we just tried to destroy it. And that was with less than 150,000 troops and conventional weapons. So while I sincerely hope we don't decide to solve this issue diplomatically, I also would think some of these countries might tread just a little lightly when confronting the U.S.A.


Blogger Tino_G said...

80% of Iranians I have talked about this issue think they can militarily defeat the US, just like Saddam did. Never underestimate the stupidity and macho pride of middle-easterners.

May 19, 2006 9:33 PM  
Anonymous Harlem said...

Maybe Iran is looking at the U.S./Iraq experience and view this as a way to get countrywide cell phone, Internet and satelite TV service in thier country, much more quickly & economically than they could do on their own.
Sure they lose several thousand innocents in the process but, eventually, a very similar government gets back in control of the country and the U.S. finances all kinds of infrastructure and technological advances.
Seriously, standing up to the U.S. certainly buys them some "street cred" not just in the Middle East but everywhere where we are currently hated (long list worldwide) and I think they have sized up the situation correctly and called our bluff. Even Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld aren't stupid enough to move ahead with any military plan here.

May 20, 2006 4:13 PM  
Blogger ziel said...

Let's hope so.

May 20, 2006 6:25 PM  
Blogger Tino_G said...

“Let's hope so”?!? You paleocons are as weak hearted and weak willed as the liberals.

What exactly is the problem with the US credibly threatening to bomb most of the Iranian nuclear program and government infrastructure to smithereens? Kofi Annan would be sad? The Arab street? It’s not sensitive?

Grow a spine.

And don’t give me any of that “we can’t get it all” nonsense. Sure, but you don’t need to, just enough to set them back a few years.

By the way harlem I am curious what exactly you mean by “where we are currently hated”? Currently? You actually believe this Democrat talking point that America used to be beloved, before Bush came along?

I grew up in the Middle East during Carter and Reagan and spent the rest of my life in Europe. Hatred for the US was as deep though all this period. Just because it was somewhat latent in some periods doesn’t mean they liked you (to give an analogy you guys were probably as much against illegal immigration 2 years ago as you are now, but when an issue surfaces it gets more attention).

May 21, 2006 3:40 AM  
Blogger ziel said...

Tino, I'm not against bombing Iran's nuclear infrastructure - I'm against caring about it. We have nothing to fear. If China and Russia can't find it in themselves to be worried, why should the U.S.? If it gets down to where they seem to actually close to developing a bomb, then we can think about doing something. I suspect China would be more than happy for us to wreck the country leaving them to pick up the pieces.

May 21, 2006 2:35 PM  
Blogger Thomas Braylen said...

Though launching solutions you realize you simply won't manage to launch by the due date, or maybe by any means, is not some thing outlawed, whenever using this in order to synthetically thrust upward share prices of the corporation, or maybe drive shoppers to hold back to get a merchandise and steer clear of normally the VaporWare one introduced with the opposition, everthing can cause a trial or maybe federal government brought on.

August 02, 2014 1:52 PM  

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